GASTON? A new tropical depression likely in a few days, will be “Gaston” in the event of a tropical storm

East of Florida, Earl Churns, Gaston could be born, will it be a beauty or a beast? !

And… Another wave ready to enter the Atlantic…

The National Hurricane Center monitors four systems, three east of Florida.


BOCA RATON, FL ( (Copyright © 2022 MetroDesk Media, LLC) (UPDATE AT 5 p.m.) – There are now four systems closely watched by the National Hurricane Center, with two hurricanes, a system that may soon become Gaston, and a tropical wave that is expected to be moving.

Earl and Danielle, now two hurricanes, should have no impact on the American continent. Danielle stays in the North Atlantic, while Earl is away from the Florida coast and heads northeast. Although it looks like anything could happen in 2022, it is more than unlikely that the system will change course and head towards the United States.

There is now a 70% chance that the red “x” you see above will become a tropical depression by Friday. It could become “Gaston” if it increases to tropical storm strength. The system should track west-northwestward. And the yellow X should be rolling off the coast of Africa in a day or two. It’s too early to fully predict steering currents, so check back. This yellow X has a 30% chance of forming over the next five days.

Here’s the National Hurricane Center’s Wednesday afternoon tropical weather forecast.

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wednesday, September 7, 2022

For the North Atlantic… the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories for Hurricane Danielle, located several hundred miles northwest of the Azores, and Hurricane Earl, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda.

  1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure area located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is gradually becoming clearer. However, the associated activity of showers and thunderstorms still remains disorganized. Environmental conditions look favorable for further development of this system over the next two days, and a tropical depression will likely form by Friday as it moves west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. After this period, winds aloft should become less conducive to development.
  • Chance of formation in 48 hours… high… 70%.
  • Chance of formation over 5 days… high… 70%.
  1. African Coast: A tropical wave currently located near the West African coast is expected to emerge off the eastern Atlantic over the next few days. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
  • Chance of formation over 48 hours… low… close to 0%.
  • Chance of formation over 5 days… low… 30%.

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