Tracking the tropics: Atlantic stays busy with Peter, Rose, 2 areas of potentially new development
TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – The tropics remain active as September begins to wind down. With two named storms and two other areas of interest, there is no sign of slowing tropical activity.
Tropical Depression Peter
Tropical Depression Peter is located approximately 225 miles northwest of Puerto Rico with winds of 35 mph moving north-northwest at 7 mph. The depression continues to weaken and the National Hurricane Center has said it is barely a tropical depression. However, tropical humidity on the southern edge will lead to the potential for torrential rains in parts of the Caribbean islands until Thursday morning.
Peter is expected to turn further north as he battles strong wind shear and dry air, which will eventually cause the storm to dissipate completely, likely by Friday afternoon.
It won’t be a threat to Florida or the United States.
Tropical depression rose
The Tropical Rose Depression is located much further east in the central Atlantic Ocean. Maximum winds are 35 mph and Rose is moving northwest at 9 mph.
Similar to Peter, Rose struggles with strong wind shear and dry air. Windshear is expected to intensify over the next few days, which will likely cause this system to dissipate before the weekend is over as well.
Even if Rose continues northwest with an eventual forecast to return to the east, it will remain on earth with no impact on the United States.
Although not yet named, a tropical wave considered to be Invest 98L currently has a high chance of developing into a named system because it organizes quickly. The showers and storms associated with the wave are moving westward at 10-15 mph across the south-central Atlantic Ocean.
The wave is expected to move into an area where the atmosphere will continue to be favorable for further development and a tropical depression will likely form within a day or so. Longer-range forecasting models bring 98L just north of the Windward Islands before bending north before the Bahamas.
There are many factors involved in the timing of this turn and 98L should be watched over the next few days for any changes.
Another disturbance, an area of non-tropical low pressure and the Odette remains located in the north-central Atlantic, has a medium chance of developing subtropical features when moving over slightly warm waters.
It is expected to meander, moving counterclockwise over the next few days. However, by the weekend the winds are expected to be much stronger, creating a hostile environment for any further development.
Either way, it won’t impact the United States as it stays west-northwest of the Azores.
The hurricane season runs until the end of November, with the most active months being August and September. October has another peak of activity and storms can be strong as well, so it is important not to let your guard down and to continue to check with the Tracking the Tropics team on any possible development in the Atlantic, Caribbean or the Gulf of Mexico, all season long.
Suggest a correction